Luisa Crawford
Feb 20, 2026 09:29
Hong Kong’s Foreign money Board confirms orderly HKD markets with trade fee buying and selling 7.7673-7.7900 in opposition to USD. Combination Steadiness regular at HK$54 billion.
Hong Kong’s forex peg system operated with out stress by means of This fall 2025, with the Hong Kong greenback buying and selling in a decent band of seven.7673 to 7.7900 in opposition to the dollar, based on minutes from the HKMA’s Foreign money Board Sub-Committee assembly held January 12.
The Financial Base expanded to HK$2,040.65 billion by late December, with all adjustments totally backed by international reserves beneath Foreign money Board guidelines. The Combination Steadiness—a key liquidity indicator watched by FX merchants—held regular round HK$54 billion, and the HKMA’s Convertibility Undertakings weren’t triggered throughout the interval.
Charge Dynamics Mirror Fed Strikes
HIBOR charges tracked their USD counterparts as anticipated beneath the Linked Alternate Charge System, although native funding circumstances added some volatility. Interbank charges softened by means of October and November on equity-related demand earlier than seasonal pressures pushed them increased into year-end.
Following the Fed’s This fall fee cuts, Hong Kong banks trimmed Greatest Lending Charges by 12.5 foundation factors in early November. They held regular in December, leaving market charges between 5.000% and 5.500% at interval finish.
Macro Backdrop Exhibits Blended Alerts
The Sub-Committee flagged a number of danger components value monitoring. U.S. markets acquired momentary reduction from commerce truces and the federal government reopening, however “Ok-shaped” consumption patterns, AI growth sustainability questions, and labor market weak point stay considerations.
Mainland China’s development moderated in October-November 2025, although the latest U.S.-China commerce truce ought to ease near-term export strain. Beijing’s fifteenth 5-Yr Plan (2026-2030) will prioritize technological self-reliance and home consumption.
Hong Kong’s personal financial system grew by means of This fall, pushed by merchandise exports and stabilizing retail gross sales. The housing market confirmed additional restoration as monetary circumstances eased, although industrial actual property nonetheless struggles with elevated emptiness charges.
What Merchants Ought to Watch
The Alternate Fund’s whole property stood at HK$4,151.4 billion as of December 31, 2025, offering substantial backing for the forex peg. With the HKMA projecting reasonable 2026 development supported by tech demand and improved sentiment from eased commerce tensions, the HKD appears to be like set to stay well-anchored.
For crypto merchants with HKD publicity or these watching Asian liquidity circumstances, the steady Combination Steadiness suggests no imminent funding stress which may spill into digital asset markets. The following Foreign money Board assessment masking January-March 2026 information ought to arrive in Might.
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