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Bitcoin Faces Prolonged Downtrend Through 2027, Analyst Warns

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Bitcoin’s market cap has dropped to roughly $1.46 trillion, pushing it beneath a number of main expertise firms and commodities in world asset rankings.

Associated Studying

Gold Holds Prime Spot As BTC Slides

Gold stays the world’s most beneficial asset at practically $31 trillion, with Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, TSMC, Broadcom, Saudi Aramco, Tesla, and Meta Platforms all ranked above Bitcoin.

The drop displays mounting stress on the cryptocurrency from a number of fronts — together with rising inflation, geopolitical battle, and weakening investor sentiment.

Ki Younger Ju, chief government of crypto analytics agency CryptoQuant, now says the bear market may stretch into early 2027. His evaluation relies on an on-chain profitability mannequin that tracks how lengthy investor losses usually drag on as soon as profit-taking begins to unwind.

As soon as profit-taking cascades, Bitcoin traders’ PnL usually falls for about 18 months.

For the reason that development turned in Oct 2025, the bear market may final till early 2027.

The development solely adjustments when unrealized income rise and realized income fall. We’re not there but. pic.twitter.com/fQyIRLu8vv

— Ki Younger Ju (@ki_young_ju) Could 29, 2026

In response to Ju, the decline in investor income began in October 2025. He argues the development has adopted a roughly 18-month sample seen in earlier downturns, pointing to comparable cycles in 2014, 2018, and 2022.

Bear Market Clock Began In October 2025

The CryptoQuant PnL Index Sign — a chart that measures investor profitability utilizing 365-day shifting averages — exhibits the indicator rolling over after hitting a peak final 12 months.

Ju posted the chart on X, noting {that a} restoration will solely be confirmed when unrealized income rise whereas realized income fall. That shift has not occurred but, he mentioned.

BTCUSD now buying and selling at $73,788. Chart: TradingView

Bitcoin was buying and selling close to $73,289 on the time of the report, down barely over a 24-hour interval. Information from CoinGlass exhibits whole open curiosity within the derivatives market fell to round $55 billion, whereas liquidations over the identical interval hit near $224 million.

Lengthy Merchants Take The Brunt Of The Harm

Lengthy positions bore the majority of these losses. Over $30 million in bullish bets have been worn out in 24 hours, in comparison with round $17 million briefly liquidations. Regardless of these figures, the long-short ratio on main exchanges together with Binance and OKX nonetheless leans bullish.

Associated Studying

Broader macroeconomic situations are including to the stress. US PCE inflation climbed to three.8% year-over-year in April, and Fed price hike odds have risen sharply in response.

Stories point out that tensions between the US and Iran have additionally rattled world markets, with danger sentiment throughout crypto persevering with to weaken.

Featured picture from Pexels, chart from TradingView





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Tags: AnalystBitcoinDowntrendfacesProlongedWarns
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